SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$90

BULLISH

57.8% up

Last update: 07:16 PM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 57.8%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

March 16

$0K

March 17

$0K

89%

March 18

$0K

81%

March 19

$0K

76%

March 20

$0K

73%

March 21

$0K

72%

March 22

$0K

70%

March 23

$0K

69%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

Loading prices...

View SOL markets on Polymarket

Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Mar 16	Mar 17	Mar 18	Mar 19	Mar 20	Mar 21	Mar 22	Mar 23
$140	+55.6%	1%	0% March 16 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $269K	0% March 17 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $38K	0% March 18 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $13K	1% March 19 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $13K	0% March 20 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $13K	2% March 21 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $821 Liquidity: $9K	1% March 22 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $553 Liquidity: $10K	2% March 23 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $137 Liquidity: $9K
$130	+44.4%	1%	0% March 16 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $280K	0% March 17 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $35K	0% March 18 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $13K	1% March 19 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $673 Liquidity: $10K	1% March 20 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $442 Liquidity: $9K	—	2% March 22 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $275 Liquidity: $9K	2% March 23 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $9K
$120	+33.3%	1%	0% March 16 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $975 Liquidity: $273K	0% March 17 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $17K	1% March 18 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $13K	2% March 19 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $556 Liquidity: $11K	1% March 20 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K	2% March 21 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $225 Liquidity: $9K	2% March 22 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $268 Liquidity: $9K	2% March 23 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$110	+22.2%	1%	0% March 16 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $0	1% March 17 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $15K	2% March 18 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $13K	2% March 19 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $285 Liquidity: $9K	3% March 20 @ $110 Bid: 2% Ask: 5% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K	5% March 21 @ $110 Bid: 3% Ask: 6% Spread: 3.6% Volume: $16 Liquidity: $9K	5% March 22 @ $110 Bid: 4% Ask: 7% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $102 Liquidity: $8K	7% March 23 @ $110 Bid: 4% Ask: 9% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $33 Liquidity: $9K
$100	+11.1%	1%	0% March 16 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $50K Liquidity: $0	9% March 17 @ $100 Bid: 8% Ask: 9% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $13K	15% March 18 @ $100 Bid: 12% Ask: 18% Spread: 5.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	20% March 19 @ $100 Bid: 17% Ask: 22% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $126 Liquidity: $9K	23% March 20 @ $100 Bid: 20% Ask: 25% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $344 Liquidity: $9K	25% March 21 @ $100 Bid: 22% Ask: 27% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $215 Liquidity: $9K	26% March 22 @ $100 Bid: 23% Ask: 29% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	27% March 23 @ $100 Bid: 24% Ask: 29% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8K
$90	+0.0%	51%	100% March 16 @ $90 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $21K Liquidity: $289K	89% March 17 @ $90 Bid: 87% Ask: 91% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $13K	81% March 18 @ $90 Bid: 79% Ask: 83% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $13K	76% March 19 @ $90 Bid: 74% Ask: 78% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $12K	73% March 20 @ $90 Bid: 70% Ask: 75% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $309 Liquidity: $8K	72% March 21 @ $90 Bid: 68% Ask: 75% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $11 Liquidity: $8K	70% March 22 @ $90 Bid: 67% Ask: 73% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $91 Liquidity: $8K	69% March 23 @ $90 Bid: 66% Ask: 71% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $249 Liquidity: $9K
$80	-11.1%	99%	100% March 16 @ $80 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $8K Liquidity: $0	98% March 17 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $14K	98% March 18 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $224 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 19 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $62 Liquidity: $8K	97% March 20 @ $80 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K	96% March 21 @ $80 Bid: 94% Ask: 98% Spread: 4.4% Volume: $290 Liquidity: $9K	95% March 22 @ $80 Bid: 93% Ask: 97% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $9K	94% March 23 @ $80 Bid: 92% Ask: 96% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K
$70	-22.2%	99%	100% March 16 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $260K	100% March 17 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	98% March 18 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $13K	98% March 19 @ $70 Bid: 98% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $851 Liquidity: $11K	98% March 20 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $289 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 21 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $251 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 22 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $280 Liquidity: $8K	98% March 23 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $220 Liquidity: $9K
$60	-33.3%	99%	100% March 16 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0	100% March 17 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $22K	100% March 18 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $13K	99% March 19 @ $60 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $515 Liquidity: $10K	98% March 20 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $469 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 21 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 22 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $643 Liquidity: $10K	98% March 23 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $250 Liquidity: $9K
$50	-44.4%	99%	100% March 16 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $265K	100% March 17 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $26K	100% March 18 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 19 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $743 Liquidity: $9K	99% March 20 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $519 Liquidity: $10K	98% March 21 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $210 Liquidity: $8K	99% March 22 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $200 Liquidity: $8K	99% March 23 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $250 Liquidity: $9K
$40	-55.6%	99%	100% March 16 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0	100% March 17 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $24K	100% March 18 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $14K	100% March 19 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $10K	100% March 20 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $876 Liquidity: $10K	99% March 21 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $528 Liquidity: $10K	99% March 22 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $633 Liquidity: $9K	98% March 23 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $150 Liquidity: $8K

Up/Down Markets

Average probability of BTC going up per interval