SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$70

NEUTRAL

50.1% up

Last update: 06:17 PM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 50.1%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

June 15

$0K

June 16

$0K

June 17

$0K

50%

June 18

$0K

46%

June 19

$0K

50%

June 20

$0K

52%

June 21

$0K

51%

June 22

$0K

51%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Jun 15	Jun 16	Jun 17	Jun 18	Jun 19	Jun 20	Jun 21	Jun 22
$130	+85.7%	1%	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	50% June 22 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$120	+71.4%	1%	0% June 15 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $62K	—	0% June 17 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $6K	1% June 18 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $363 Liquidity: $147	48% June 19 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 95% Spread: 94.7% Volume: $208 Liquidity: $12	48% June 20 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 95% Spread: 94.7% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $9	48% June 21 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 95% Spread: 93.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8	50% June 22 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$110	+57.1%	1%	0% June 15 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $61K	0% June 16 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $837 Liquidity: $4K	0% June 17 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $988 Liquidity: $6K	46% June 18 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 92% Spread: 91.3% Volume: $192 Liquidity: $23	48% June 19 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 97% Spread: 96.5% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $11	45% June 20 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 89% Spread: 88.6% Volume: $70 Liquidity: $11	49% June 21 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 97% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $55 Liquidity: $5	50% June 22 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$100	+42.9%	1%	0% June 15 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $63K	0% June 16 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $772 Liquidity: $13K	1% June 17 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $166 Liquidity: $6K	2% June 18 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $7 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 19 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $142 Liquidity: $5K	1% June 20 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $141 Liquidity: $5K	2% June 21 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	50% June 22 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$90	+28.6%	1%	0% June 15 @ $90 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $94K	0% June 16 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $14K	1% June 17 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $116 Liquidity: $6K	2% June 18 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.9% Volume: $139 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 19 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 20 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% June 21 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	50% June 22 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$80	+14.3%	1%	0% June 15 @ $80 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $103K	6% June 16 @ $80 Bid: 3% Ask: 9% Spread: 6.8% Volume: $829 Liquidity: $9K	12% June 17 @ $80 Bid: 8% Ask: 17% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $129 Liquidity: $5K	16% June 18 @ $80 Bid: 11% Ask: 21% Spread: 9.6% Volume: $85 Liquidity: $5K	17% June 19 @ $80 Bid: 12% Ask: 22% Spread: 9.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	19% June 20 @ $80 Bid: 14% Ask: 24% Spread: 9.4% Volume: $218 Liquidity: $5K	20% June 21 @ $80 Bid: 16% Ask: 24% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	50% June 22 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $2
$70	+0.0%	51%	100% June 15 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $95K	95% June 16 @ $70 Bid: 91% Ask: 99% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $127	50% June 17 @ $70 Bid: 4% Ask: 95% Spread: 91.0% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $40	83% June 18 @ $70 Bid: 70% Ask: 95% Spread: 25.0% Volume: $267 Liquidity: $20	50% June 19 @ $70 Bid: 2% Ask: 98% Spread: 96.0% Volume: $16 Liquidity: $7	74% June 20 @ $70 Bid: 50% Ask: 97% Spread: 47.0% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $54	51% June 21 @ $70 Bid: 3% Ask: 98% Spread: 95.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $14	51% June 22 @ $70 Bid: 2% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $2
$60	-14.3%	99%	100% June 15 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $64K	100% June 16 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $16K	98% June 17 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $275 Liquidity: $6K	98% June 18 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $445 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 19 @ $60 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $4 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 20 @ $60 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $105 Liquidity: $5K	97% June 21 @ $60 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	51% June 22 @ $60 Bid: 2% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$50	-28.6%	99%	100% June 15 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $62K	100% June 16 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $330 Liquidity: $6K	100% June 17 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $165 Liquidity: $6K	98% June 18 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $505 Liquidity: $10K	98% June 19 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 20 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 21 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	51% June 22 @ $50 Bid: 2% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$40	-42.9%	99%	100% June 15 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $339 Liquidity: $95K	100% June 16 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $539 Liquidity: $3K	100% June 17 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $419 Liquidity: $2K	99% June 18 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $120 Liquidity: $403	99% June 19 @ $40 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $10 Liquidity: $289	52% June 20 @ $40 Bid: 5% Ask: 99% Spread: 93.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $8	52% June 21 @ $40 Bid: 5% Ask: 99% Spread: 94.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3	51% June 22 @ $40 Bid: 3% Ask: 99% Spread: 96.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5
$30	-57.1%	99%	100% June 15 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $96K	100% June 16 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $858 Liquidity: $8K	99% June 17 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.3% Volume: $355 Liquidity: $3K	100% June 18 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.0% Volume: $159 Liquidity: $392	99% June 19 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $393	99% June 20 @ $30 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $17	52% June 21 @ $30 Bid: 3% Ask: 100% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $55 Liquidity: $5	51% June 22 @ $30 Bid: 2% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4
$20	-71.4%	99%	100% June 15 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $160 Liquidity: $97K	100% June 16 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $757 Liquidity: $12K	100% June 17 @ $20 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $432 Liquidity: $7K	99% June 18 @ $20 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $149 Liquidity: $6K	99% June 19 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $150 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 20 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $5K	98% June 21 @ $20 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	—
$10	-85.7%	99%	—	100% June 16 @ $10 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $760 Liquidity: $13K	—	—	—	—	—	—

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