SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$80

BULLISH

53.5% up

Last update: 12:12 PM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 53.5%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

May 1

$0K

98%

May 2

$0K

96%

May 3

$0K

93%

May 4

$0K

90%

May 5

$0K

88%

May 6

$0K

86%

May 7

$0K

84%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	May 1	May 2	May 3	May 4	May 5	May 6	May 7
$140	+75.0%	1%	0% May 1 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $31K	0% May 2 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $964 Liquidity: $20K	0% May 3 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $536 Liquidity: $10K	—	—	—	—
$130	+62.5%	1%	0% May 1 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $33K	0% May 2 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $913 Liquidity: $12K	0% May 3 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $578 Liquidity: $10K	1% May 4 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $423 Liquidity: $6K	0% May 5 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $190 Liquidity: $6K	1% May 6 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $745 Liquidity: $10K	1% May 7 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $85 Liquidity: $6K
$120	+50.0%	1%	0% May 1 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $601 Liquidity: $28K	0% May 2 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $531 Liquidity: $12K	0% May 3 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $501 Liquidity: $10K	2% May 4 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	1% May 5 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 1.1% Volume: $230 Liquidity: $6K	1% May 6 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $377 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 7 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $1 Liquidity: $6K
$110	+37.5%	1%	0% May 1 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $809 Liquidity: $26K	0% May 2 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $816 Liquidity: $13K	0% May 3 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $916 Liquidity: $10K	2% May 4 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	1% May 5 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $140 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 6 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $820 Liquidity: $9K	2% May 7 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $1 Liquidity: $6K
$100	+25.0%	1%	0% May 1 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $21K	1% May 2 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $130 Liquidity: $8K	2% May 3 @ $100 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $60 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 4 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	3% May 5 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	3% May 6 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $400 Liquidity: $6K	3% May 7 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $1 Liquidity: $6K
$90	+12.5%	1%	0% May 1 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $16K Liquidity: $18K	3% May 2 @ $90 Bid: 0% Ask: 7% Spread: 6.7% Volume: $631 Liquidity: $9K	4% May 3 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 6% Spread: 5.5% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $9K	5% May 4 @ $90 Bid: 2% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.2% Volume: $38 Liquidity: $5K	7% May 5 @ $90 Bid: 4% Ask: 10% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $520 Liquidity: $9K	8% May 6 @ $90 Bid: 4% Ask: 12% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $9 Liquidity: $5K	10% May 7 @ $90 Bid: 6% Ask: 14% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $132 Liquidity: $5K
$80	+0.0%	51%	98% May 1 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.4% Volume: $13K Liquidity: $10K	96% May 2 @ $80 Bid: 92% Ask: 100% Spread: 7.7% Volume: $870 Liquidity: $10K	93% May 3 @ $80 Bid: 89% Ask: 96% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $246 Liquidity: $6K	90% May 4 @ $80 Bid: 85% Ask: 94% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $72 Liquidity: $5K	88% May 5 @ $80 Bid: 83% Ask: 92% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $300 Liquidity: $5K	86% May 6 @ $80 Bid: 81% Ask: 90% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $5K	84% May 7 @ $80 Bid: 80% Ask: 88% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $111 Liquidity: $5K
$70	-12.5%	99%	100% May 1 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $621 Liquidity: $20K	100% May 2 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $59 Liquidity: $7K	100% May 3 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $178 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 4 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $428 Liquidity: $6K	99% May 5 @ $70 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.1% Volume: $824 Liquidity: $9K	97% May 6 @ $70 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $345 Liquidity: $6K	97% May 7 @ $70 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K
$60	-25.0%	99%	100% May 1 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $481 Liquidity: $23K	100% May 2 @ $60 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $121 Liquidity: $8K	100% May 3 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $110 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 4 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $46 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 5 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $14 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 6 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $600 Liquidity: $9K	98% May 7 @ $60 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K
$50	-37.5%	99%	100% May 1 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $368 Liquidity: $32K	100% May 2 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $232 Liquidity: $8K	100% May 3 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.7% Volume: $85 Liquidity: $6K	99% May 4 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $27 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 5 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $14 Liquidity: $6K	99% May 6 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $95 Liquidity: $6K	99% May 7 @ $50 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $105 Liquidity: $6K
$40	-50.0%	99%	100% May 1 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $627 Liquidity: $37K	100% May 2 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	100% May 3 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $278 Liquidity: $6K	100% May 4 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $475 Liquidity: $6K	100% May 5 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $296 Liquidity: $6K	99% May 6 @ $40 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $780 Liquidity: $10K	99% May 7 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.8% Volume: $105 Liquidity: $6K
$30	-62.5%	99%	—	—	—	100% May 4 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $524 Liquidity: $10K	100% May 5 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $509 Liquidity: $10K	99% May 6 @ $30 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $575 Liquidity: $10K	100% May 7 @ $30 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $606 Liquidity: $10K

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