SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$95

BEARISH

43.8% up

Last update: 10:01 AM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BEARISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 43.8%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

October 30

$0K

80%

October 31

$0K

72%

November 1

$0K

70%

November 2

$0K

66%

November 3

$0K

63%

November 4

$0K

61%

November 5

$0K

61%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	Oct 30	Oct 31	Nov 1	Nov 2	Nov 3	Nov 4	Nov 5
$130	+36.8%	1%	0% October 30 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $6K	—	—	—	—	—	3% November 5 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$125	+31.6%	1%	0% October 30 @ $125 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $6K	1% October 31 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 1 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 2 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 3 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% November 4 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 5% Spread: 5.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% November 5 @ $125 Bid: 0% Ask: 6% Spread: 5.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$120	+26.3%	1%	0% October 30 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $28K	1% October 31 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 1 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 2 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $83 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 3 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 4 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	2% November 5 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$115	+21.1%	1%	0% October 30 @ $115 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $27K	1% October 31 @ $115 Bid: 0% Ask: 2% Spread: 1.6% Volume: $300 Liquidity: $6K	2% November 1 @ $115 Bid: 0% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.7% Volume: $77 Liquidity: $5K	1% November 2 @ $115 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $37 Liquidity: $5K	2% November 3 @ $115 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $53 Liquidity: $5K	2% November 4 @ $115 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	3% November 5 @ $115 Bid: 0% Ask: 5% Spread: 4.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$110	+15.8%	1%	0% October 30 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $28K	2% October 31 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.2% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $26K	3% November 1 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 5% Spread: 3.7% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $26K	2% November 2 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.5% Volume: $250 Liquidity: $5K	3% November 3 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 5% Spread: 5.2% Volume: $25 Liquidity: $5K	5% November 4 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.4% Volume: $143 Liquidity: $5K	6% November 5 @ $110 Bid: 3% Ask: 10% Spread: 7.1% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$105	+10.5%	1%	3% October 30 @ $105 Bid: 0% Ask: 6% Spread: 5.5% Volume: $12K Liquidity: $27K	5% October 31 @ $105 Bid: 1% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.6% Volume: $239 Liquidity: $5K	5% November 1 @ $105 Bid: 1% Ask: 9% Spread: 7.5% Volume: $475 Liquidity: $5K	9% November 2 @ $105 Bid: 6% Ask: 11% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $55 Liquidity: $5K	11% November 3 @ $105 Bid: 7% Ask: 14% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $30 Liquidity: $5K	14% November 4 @ $105 Bid: 10% Ask: 18% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $55 Liquidity: $5K	17% November 5 @ $105 Bid: 13% Ask: 20% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4K
$100	+5.3%	1%	9% October 30 @ $100 Bid: 6% Ask: 12% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $10K Liquidity: $26K	22% October 31 @ $100 Bid: 17% Ask: 27% Spread: 10.0% Volume: $85 Liquidity: $6K	25% November 1 @ $100 Bid: 22% Ask: 27% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $66 Liquidity: $5K	28% November 2 @ $100 Bid: 24% Ask: 31% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $49 Liquidity: $5K	31% November 3 @ $100 Bid: 28% Ask: 33% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $92 Liquidity: $5K	34% November 4 @ $100 Bid: 30% Ask: 37% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $189 Liquidity: $5K	35% November 5 @ $100 Bid: 31% Ask: 38% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $4K
$95	+0.0%	51%	80% October 30 @ $95 Bid: 77% Ask: 83% Spread: 5.9% Volume: $16K Liquidity: $26K	72% October 31 @ $95 Bid: 69% Ask: 75% Spread: 5.8% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $23K	70% November 1 @ $95 Bid: 65% Ask: 74% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $839 Liquidity: $5K	66% November 2 @ $95 Bid: 62% Ask: 69% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $82 Liquidity: $5K	63% November 3 @ $95 Bid: 60% Ask: 66% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $168 Liquidity: $5K	61% November 4 @ $95 Bid: 58% Ask: 64% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $125 Liquidity: $5K	61% November 5 @ $95 Bid: 57% Ask: 64% Spread: 7.0% Volume: $55 Liquidity: $4K
$90	-5.3%	99%	96% October 30 @ $90 Bid: 95% Ask: 98% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $27K	95% October 31 @ $90 Bid: 92% Ask: 98% Spread: 6.5% Volume: $960 Liquidity: $5K	95% November 1 @ $90 Bid: 93% Ask: 97% Spread: 3.8% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $26K	90% November 2 @ $90 Bid: 85% Ask: 95% Spread: 9.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	87% November 3 @ $90 Bid: 82% Ask: 91% Spread: 8.4% Volume: $46 Liquidity: $5K	84% November 4 @ $90 Bid: 80% Ask: 89% Spread: 8.9% Volume: $240 Liquidity: $5K	81% November 5 @ $90 Bid: 78% Ask: 84% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $4K
$85	-10.5%	99%	100% October 30 @ $85 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $27K	99% October 31 @ $85 Bid: 99% Ask: 99% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $6K	99% November 1 @ $85 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 2 @ $85 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	96% November 3 @ $85 Bid: 93% Ask: 100% Spread: 6.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	93% November 4 @ $85 Bid: 90% Ask: 96% Spread: 6.3% Volume: $93 Liquidity: $5K	92% November 5 @ $85 Bid: 90% Ask: 95% Spread: 5.4% Volume: $127 Liquidity: $5K
$80	-15.8%	99%	100% October 30 @ $80 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $30K	99% October 31 @ $80 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 1 @ $80 Bid: 95% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 2 @ $80 Bid: 95% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	99% November 3 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	98% November 4 @ $80 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $100 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 5 @ $80 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K
$75	-21.1%	99%	—	99% October 31 @ $75 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.8% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	98% November 1 @ $75 Bid: 96% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	98% November 2 @ $75 Bid: 95% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.6% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 3 @ $75 Bid: 95% Ask: 100% Spread: 4.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	97% November 4 @ $75 Bid: 94% Ask: 99% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $5K	—

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