SOL Sentiment

Polymarket prediction markets

SOL/USDT

$90

BULLISH

58.5% up

Last update: 05:44 PM UTC

Combined Sentiment

BULLISH

15 min

—

1 day

PM: 58.5%

Pivot Strikes

Strike price closest to 50% probability for each date

May 10

$0K

May 11

$0K

May 12

$0K

65%

May 13

$0K

15%

May 14

$0K

19%

May 15

$0K

21%

May 16

$0K

22%

May 17

$0K

50%

Fair Value Analysis

Low Vol

Historical probabilities vs Polymarket odds (30d lookback)

μ: -0.01%

σ: 0.76%

P(up): 50.8%

n=720

μ: -0.05%

σ: 1.58%

P(up): 51.1%

n=180

μ: -0.20%

σ: 3.06%

P(up): 46.7%

n=30

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Strike Ladder

Probability of SOL above each strike at resolution. Hover for details.

Price:

Strike	Diff%	Fair (4h/30d)	May 10	May 11	May 12	May 13	May 14	May 15	May 16	May 17
$140	+55.6%	1%	—	—	0% May 12 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $15K	0% May 13 @ $140 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $14K Liquidity: $22K	2% May 14 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $102 Liquidity: $7K	2% May 15 @ $140 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 16 @ $140 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $7K	3% May 17 @ $140 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $97
$130	+44.4%	1%	0% May 10 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $78K	0% May 11 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $716 Liquidity: $16K	0% May 12 @ $130 Bid: — Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $637 Liquidity: $15K	0% May 13 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $445 Liquidity: $7K	2% May 14 @ $130 Bid: 0% Ask: 3% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $171 Liquidity: $7K	2% May 15 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 16 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 3% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	4% May 17 @ $130 Bid: 1% Ask: 7% Spread: 6.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $94
$120	+33.3%	1%	0% May 10 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $86K	0% May 11 @ $120 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $18K	0% May 12 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $290 Liquidity: $8K	1% May 13 @ $120 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $15K	2% May 14 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K	2% May 15 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	2% May 16 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 4% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	50% May 17 @ $120 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $8 Liquidity: $3
$110	+22.2%	1%	0% May 10 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $73K	0% May 11 @ $110 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $834 Liquidity: $15K	0% May 12 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 1% Spread: 0.5% Volume: $338 Liquidity: $7K	2% May 13 @ $110 Bid: 0% Ask: 4% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $235 Liquidity: $7K	3% May 14 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 6% Spread: 4.7% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	4% May 15 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 6% Spread: 5.2% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	4% May 16 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 7% Spread: 5.5% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	50% May 17 @ $110 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $3
$100	+11.1%	1%	0% May 10 @ $100 Bid: — Ask: 0% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $50K Liquidity: $74K	6% May 11 @ $100 Bid: 4% Ask: 8% Spread: 3.6% Volume: $22K Liquidity: $13K	12% May 12 @ $100 Bid: 7% Ask: 16% Spread: 8.5% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $13K	15% May 13 @ $100 Bid: 10% Ask: 20% Spread: 10.0% Volume: $20 Liquidity: $6K	19% May 14 @ $100 Bid: 13% Ask: 24% Spread: 10.5% Volume: $50 Liquidity: $6K	21% May 15 @ $100 Bid: 16% Ask: 25% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $7K	22% May 16 @ $100 Bid: 18% Ask: 26% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	50% May 17 @ $100 Bid: 1% Ask: 98% Spread: 97.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $2
$90	+0.0%	51%	100% May 10 @ $90 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $11K Liquidity: $120K	98% May 11 @ $90 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.0% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $14K	65% May 12 @ $90 Bid: 32% Ask: 98% Spread: 66.0% Volume: $122 Liquidity: $2K	93% May 13 @ $90 Bid: 90% Ask: 95% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $2 Liquidity: $6K	91% May 14 @ $90 Bid: 86% Ask: 95% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $16 Liquidity: $6K	89% May 15 @ $90 Bid: 84% Ask: 93% Spread: 9.0% Volume: $15 Liquidity: $6K	86% May 16 @ $90 Bid: 82% Ask: 90% Spread: 8.0% Volume: $3 Liquidity: $6K	50% May 17 @ $90 Bid: 1% Ask: 99% Spread: 98.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $0
$80	-11.1%	99%	100% May 10 @ $80 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $73K	100% May 11 @ $80 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.3% Volume: $564 Liquidity: $16K	99% May 12 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $692 Liquidity: $13K	98% May 13 @ $80 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $712 Liquidity: $14K	98% May 14 @ $80 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.7% Volume: $38 Liquidity: $7K	97% May 15 @ $80 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $206 Liquidity: $6K	97% May 16 @ $80 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	50% May 17 @ $80 Bid: 1% Ask: 99% Spread: 97.9% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $2
$70	-22.2%	99%	100% May 10 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $3K Liquidity: $74K	100% May 11 @ $70 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $475 Liquidity: $8K	99% May 12 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.6% Volume: $453 Liquidity: $8K	98% May 13 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $433 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 14 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 15 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.3% Volume: $141 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 16 @ $70 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	97% May 17 @ $70 Bid: 94% Ask: 99% Spread: 5.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $95
$60	-33.3%	99%	100% May 10 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $89K	100% May 11 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $4K Liquidity: $28K	100% May 12 @ $60 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.4% Volume: $446 Liquidity: $8K	98% May 13 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $228 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 14 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.1% Volume: $32 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 15 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $121 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 16 @ $60 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $6K	97% May 17 @ $60 Bid: 95% Ask: 99% Spread: 4.0% Volume: $8 Liquidity: $96
$50	-44.4%	99%	100% May 10 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $416 Liquidity: $76K	100% May 11 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $1K Liquidity: $20K	99% May 12 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.8% Volume: $514 Liquidity: $15K	100% May 13 @ $50 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.2% Volume: $7K Liquidity: $16K	99% May 14 @ $50 Bid: 98% Ask: 100% Spread: 1.9% Volume: $92 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 15 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 99% Spread: 2.4% Volume: $101 Liquidity: $6K	98% May 16 @ $50 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.2% Volume: $5 Liquidity: $7K	98% May 17 @ $50 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $97
$40	-55.6%	99%	100% May 10 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $9K Liquidity: $82K	100% May 11 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $185 Liquidity: $13K	100% May 12 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.6% Volume: $840 Liquidity: $14K	100% May 13 @ $40 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $5K Liquidity: $15K	100% May 14 @ $40 Bid: 99% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.9% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $13K	98% May 15 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 3.3% Volume: $737 Liquidity: $14K	99% May 16 @ $40 Bid: 97% Ask: 100% Spread: 2.9% Volume: $2K Liquidity: $15K	98% May 17 @ $40 Bid: 96% Ask: 99% Spread: 3.0% Volume: $0 Liquidity: $97
$30	-66.7%	99%	100% May 10 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $6K Liquidity: $90K	100% May 11 @ $30 Bid: 100% Ask: 100% Spread: 0.1% Volume: $335 Liquidity: $13K	—	—	—	—	—	—

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